Search found 6337 matches

by sardia
Wed Sep 19, 2018 1:56 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

The scotus nominee rape allegation took a disappointing turn. The accuser is asking for a delay+FBI investigation, but the Republicans are playing hard ball. I'm not sure what influence anyone can have short of another shoe dropping. I'm sure having a hearing would be better than not having it, but ...
by sardia
Tue Sep 18, 2018 6:01 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage
Replies: 131
Views: 9596

Re: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-democratic-incumbents-lose-despite-the-blue-wave/ Here's a scary look under the hood for Democratic Senate chances. The odds for Senate is better than the polling indicates, but the model will discount fundamentals more and more as election night approaches ...
by sardia
Mon Sep 17, 2018 7:38 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

I think one think that Trump has going for him is that he spent years building up an image as a successful businessman. He is obviously not , but he crafted this image that he was and got the general public to believe it. In terms of business, Trump is...alright. He is neither the spectacular succe...
by sardia
Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:31 pm UTC
Forum: General
Topic: Blistering blue barnacles
Replies: 28495
Views: 3062393

Re: Blistering blue barnacles

in my neighborhood it seems to be buy for 450k, spend 5k fixing it, try to sell for 550k. There is a difference between "sell" and "try to sell". Comparing "buy" with "try to sell" introduces an important asymmetry. Jose It's a lot easier to downplay price go...
by sardia
Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:01 pm UTC
Forum: General
Topic: Recommend Your Favorite Podcasts
Replies: 9
Views: 575

Re: Recommend Your Favorite Podcasts

538 podcast is pretty good for statistical take on the news. My favorite segment is "good use of polling?"and model talk. It's good for crystalizing political news into useful knowledge. Ex candidate A has a fighting chance to win becomes candidate A is going to lose 80% of the time given ...
by sardia
Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:43 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

Huh. So it turns out reality TV actually is extremely useful for learning how to be a president... Wow. What in the actual fuck is wrong with this world? It's like a complicated problem that we can't understand because... oh shit, is the problem... us? Are we the problem? Yes, the voters are a prob...
by sardia
Fri Sep 14, 2018 7:33 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

He's very good at being outrageous, yes -- but I don't think being outrageous is something we should consider to be a "skill". It's not outrageous on its own, it's outrageous combined with self-promotion. Get attention without making a fool out of yourself. Now, it's oh so tempting to say...
by sardia
Fri Sep 14, 2018 7:08 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938124

Re: Police misbehavior thread

Aren't prisons built like bunkers though? Discount bunkers, but bunkers nonetheless, and should be a bit sturdier than almost any other buildings in the area? Great, the wind won't damage the prison. Too bad you're LOCKED in a cell that's flooding from storm surge. I thought you would know that flo...
by sardia
Fri Sep 14, 2018 4:01 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

I call bullshit on some of things Trump claimed he accomplished. What's so hard about getting the majority of Congress to cut taxes? Did Trump shape legislation so it favored the rich corporations instead of the middle class, or did Republicans nod along while Congress wrote whatever the hell they w...
by sardia
Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:03 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage
Replies: 131
Views: 9596

Re: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage

Incumbents often manage to accrue a significant popularity advantage. I'm not as familiar with Florida, but despite MD being a hardcore blue state, we've got a republican governor with an unassailable popularity advantage. For him, it's mostly being a decent person, and providing fairly moderate go...
by sardia
Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:34 am UTC
Forum: General
Topic: Let's Talk Money
Replies: 226
Views: 55825

Re: Let's Talk Money

Quick update - Finished a phone interview, and they begin with a 25% pay cut as their starting offer. That's with longer hours, and more work. I dunno what's going on in Michigan. Is my current job really good , or does everyone else have a really awful job? Need to interview more to know what the j...
by sardia
Thu Sep 13, 2018 3:53 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage
Replies: 131
Views: 9596

Re: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=midterms-header The Senate forecast is finally here. Democrats are defending the best they can, but have an awful map. Democrats are at 33% odds to win the Senate which is considered an improvement since 2017. Nate ex...
by sardia
Thu Sep 13, 2018 3:41 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: In other news... (humorous news items)
Replies: 14869
Views: 2320754

Re: In other news... (humorous news items)

Uh... last I checked, insurers in the US didn't cover floods; the US government did. And since it was guaranteed issue, the result was properties built in flood zones that otherwise never would've been built, subsidized by the taxpayer. The taxpayers subsidize the insurance companies which administ...
by sardia
Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:17 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: In other news... (humorous news items)
Replies: 14869
Views: 2320754

Re: In other news... (humorous news items)

North Carolina bans using science to inform policy decisions (regarding climate) In 2012, the state now in the path of Hurricane Florence reacted to a prediction by its Coastal Resources Commission that sea levels could rise by 39in over the next century by passing a law that banned policies based ...
by sardia
Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:35 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938124

Re: Police misbehavior thread

About the cop that broke into another guy's home and killed him Is it ok to demand cops to give equal treatment when charged when equal treatment is typically really shitty? Is the interim goal of equal treatment a good idea because once powerful people face shoddy treatment, they'll be motivated to...
by sardia
Mon Sep 10, 2018 9:17 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

Well, we are fifty states united into one country, not one country divided into fifty states. Sort of. It's true that there are distinctly different cultures in the US, but I'd be hard pressed to say that they match state lines. More of regional, for the most part. Central Maryland and northern Vir...
by sardia
Mon Sep 10, 2018 8:31 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938124

Re: Police misbehavior thread

Counterpoint, Trump's administration spearheaded by Jeff "southern Belle" Sessions disagrees. And he has the Justice department cracking down in every way possible.
by sardia
Mon Sep 10, 2018 4:23 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938124

Re: Police misbehavior thread

Could just be old fashion implicit bias/racism. The sad thing is, it's a luxury apartment in a upscale neighborhood. Her racism must have been really ingrained*.

*Speculation, but an educated one.
by sardia
Sun Sep 09, 2018 3:23 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938124

Re: Police misbehavior thread

CorruptUser wrote:This generation is also have sex much later than prior generations, and teenage pregnancy is at an all time low, literally going down by half in just 1 decade.

Shhhhh, you'll make those old people manwhores feel less superior about how chaste and polite they were back in the day.
by sardia
Sat Sep 08, 2018 12:12 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938124

Re: Police misbehavior thread

The first example has actually happened, and the defendant acquitted. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/opinions/wp/2014/02/10/some-justice-in-texas-the-raid-on-henry-magee/?utm_term=.930103482af5 There's another case as well that I believe I quoted up thread, but don't have memorized. Still, tha...
by sardia
Fri Sep 07, 2018 7:05 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938124

Re: Police misbehavior thread

https://heavy.com/news/2018/09/botham-shem-jean/ Very senseless killing. If you kill someone in "self defense", but you were on the wrong home, does the castle doctrine still apply? AKA do you need criminal intent? The police are kid gloving the officer, they haven't even recorded a state...
by sardia
Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:15 pm UTC
Forum: Food
Topic: Today I Made:
Replies: 4471
Views: 800798

Re: Today I Made:

Twice baked butternut squash with bacon-pecan brittle. Also red beans and rice with sausages. Did you add any other cured meats for flavor? I've made red beans and rice before, and I'm curious if anyone else thinks it's worth it to add specialty meats for flavor boosters. (Lard, smoked ham hock/tas...
by sardia
Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:08 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Vegetarianism
Replies: 45
Views: 1902

Re: Vegetarianism

I was thinking more along a greenhouse gas tax for agriculture. Like too much methane from cows, you get taxed. Raises prices on beef, which people then substitute chicken. Congrats, you just reduced pollution and meat consumption with government +free market.
by sardia
Fri Sep 07, 2018 12:38 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Vegetarianism
Replies: 45
Views: 1902

Re: Vegetarianism

Isn't crystalizing the collective will of the people via government more effective then encouraging people? At least you shouldn't discount it. You can only convince so many people to not eat meat.
by sardia
Fri Sep 07, 2018 5:39 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

I don’t expect the Democrats to take the House, but they need a net gain of only three senate seats (out of 33 being elected this year) to break the Republican majority in the Senate, so I can see a 51/49 or 52/48 Senate with the Republicans as the minority come November. https://projects.fivethirt...
by sardia
Thu Sep 06, 2018 11:05 pm UTC
Forum: Movies and TV Shows
Topic: Crazy Rich Asians
Replies: 15
Views: 800

Re: Crazy Rich Asians

Ok, you thought the movie was a great but stereotypical rom com. Were you aware of my examples when you watched it critically? Because critical thinking isn't an all or nothing thing. Like I said, baby steps man. * It's hard to explain the concept of water to a fish. Now if you only focus on who in ...
by sardia
Thu Sep 06, 2018 10:47 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Vegetarianism
Replies: 45
Views: 1902

Re: Vegetarianism

So, what do you guys here think about vegetarianism? I am a vegetarian myself. If you ask me why, I don't really know how to give a simple answer, because I don't understand the other side of the story. I don't understand how could somebody, who has thought about the issue at all, think it's moral ...
by sardia
Thu Sep 06, 2018 10:22 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27385

Re: Libertarianism

Oooh, but that 30-50% tax rate, very very practical. Also, this is America, we don't need to be afraid of some business moving out. For one thing, it's a large market. The Chinese force companies to give up crown jewels just for market access, & part ownership in their own local branch. I'm sure...
by sardia
Thu Sep 06, 2018 8:29 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

Eh, Trump ain't going out because of the investigation. Partisanship is too high, and those in power have too many privileges. He ain't getting removed from power, I think. Not unless he loses in 2020. That's probably the case regardless of specific judicial interventions. The republicans probably ...
by sardia
Thu Sep 06, 2018 8:05 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: In other news... (humorous news items)
Replies: 14869
Views: 2320754

Re: In other news... (humorous news items)

CorruptUser wrote:Wasn't that the name from GotG2?

Congrats you got the joke.
Is this going to be Mcboatface all over again? Or is the city actually going to do this?
by sardia
Thu Sep 06, 2018 8:04 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

There is a significant amount of politics regarding judicial appointments, yeah. He's obviously trying to steer clear of obvious traps. I have no doubt that he'll be soundly Republican. I'm less certain that he has any particular love of Trump. Sure, right now he's not going to go overtly anti-trum...
by sardia
Thu Sep 06, 2018 5:46 pm UTC
Forum: Movies and TV Shows
Topic: Crazy Rich Asians
Replies: 15
Views: 800

Re: Crazy Rich Asians

I feel that is similar to people complaining that you shouldn't say "fuck Trump" because it promotes sexual violence. I mean, you probably have a point, but baby steps, I guess? If we are going to be hyper aware of bad things papered over, I'll try to list them too. The Uncle Tom-ish serva...
by sardia
Thu Sep 06, 2018 5:12 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7208
Views: 537729

Re: Trump presidency

SC appointments are probably the lengthiest impact. I don't think "the president is above the law" is a view that is likely to be a majority viewpoint. That's pretty extreme. Kavanaugh has explicitly said the opposite. It's a cinch that classically conservative viewpoints will likely rema...
by sardia
Wed Sep 05, 2018 10:04 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938124

Re: Police misbehavior thread

I'm surprised cphite is arguing this so forcefully. This thread is filled with monuments to the sins of law enforcement.
by sardia
Wed Sep 05, 2018 4:52 pm UTC
Forum: Movies and TV Shows
Topic: Crazy Rich Asians
Replies: 15
Views: 800

Re: Crazy Rich Asians

Is this a sign of progress that the Asian movie is getting criticized like stereotypical American movies, or is this a sign of how far we have to go since you are asking for the minority to be twice as good? I'm trying to remember romcoms, and the last one I saw was Trainwreck and the big sick. I wa...
by sardia
Tue Sep 04, 2018 7:56 pm UTC
Forum: Movies and TV Shows
Topic: Crazy Rich Asians
Replies: 15
Views: 800

Re: Crazy Rich Asians

Oh, you meant asterid. She was doing some stupid stuff to make him feel better about who the bread winner in the family was. I wasn't sure who you were referring to until now. I disagree about the terribleness, if she said no then he would have been sad. And then gone for another girl next year. Wha...
by sardia
Tue Sep 04, 2018 7:33 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938124

Re: Police misbehavior thread

The offense she committed was that she interfered with a legal search of a suspect. She didn't merely offer him advice; she handed him a card. It really shouldn't surprise anyone including her that handing someone an item while they're being actively searched would result in arrest. It does not sur...
by sardia
Tue Sep 04, 2018 7:28 pm UTC
Forum: Movies and TV Shows
Topic: Crazy Rich Asians
Replies: 15
Views: 800

Re: Crazy Rich Asians

In terms of the rom-com aspects, it's pretty standard. I enjoyed it, Constance Wu is amazing and should star in everything, Awkwafina is great, I loved Michelle Yeoh. I had some pretty heavy criticisms on the story - Henry Golding's character is super creepy and horrible. It's standard rom-com trop...
by sardia
Tue Sep 04, 2018 2:43 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage
Replies: 131
Views: 9596

Re: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage

Ugh, the three models have started to diverge. Lite - 42% Classic - 28% Deluxe - 38%. Overall, this is a modest improvement from before. The polling in the district got worse, but the surrounding polling (CANTOR) got better. The fundamentals still mostly favors the Republican, but the experts are bu...
by sardia
Mon Sep 03, 2018 8:33 pm UTC
Forum: Movies and TV Shows
Topic: Crazy Rich Asians
Replies: 15
Views: 800

Crazy Rich Asians

Not sure if anyone else saw it. It's not bad, but the buying hotel bit in the beginning was sillier than the orgy party ship. Hopefully the movie stands there test of time, or at least rewatching. That, and I hope they finish the trilogy. My girlfriend loved it, and the eye candy though.

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