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by HorseIsAHorse
Wed Nov 07, 2012 5:04 pm UTC
Forum: Individual XKCD Comic Threads
Topic: 1131: "Math"
Replies: 156
Views: 33185

Re: Confidence interval in forecast?

So if the comic is based off of 538 and if the comic is using the conventional 95% confidence interval, then the forecast should include a sliver of a Romney win. Both Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Consortium and Drew Linzer at Votamatic had the probability of a Romney victory outside of the 9...

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